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9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

10.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?" has a probability of 10.0%. Trading volume: $177K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 4h ago
Volume
$177K
Volume 24h
$20
Liquidity
$9K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
9.0% / 11.0%
Spread
2.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 9.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between December 8, 2025 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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