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AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

22.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?" has a probability of 22.5%. Trading volume: $30K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 22m ago
Volume
$30K
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$7K
Traders
Bid / Ask
21.0% / 24.0%
Spread
3.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state-of-the-art (SOTA) AI model achieves a score of 90% or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI howev…

Single Platform Data

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