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AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

80.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?" has a probability of 80.0%. Trading volume: $4K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 4h ago
Volume
$4K
Volume 24h
$2
Liquidity
$4K
Traders
Bid / Ask
78.0% / 82.0%
Spread
4.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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