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Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 15, 2026?

29.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 15, 2026?" has a probability of 29.5%. Trading volume: $10K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 2h ago
Volume
$10K
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$234
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
22.0% / 37.0%
Spread
15.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Apr 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geologic…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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