MethodologyAPI
Home › Other › Any country withdraws from EU before 2...

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

6.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?" has a probability of 6.5%. Trading volume: $111K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 5h ago
Volume
$111K
Volume 24h
—
Liquidity
$64K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
6.0% / 7.0%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European Union (EU) member state withdraws from the EU by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal …

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

Odds Raven

The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.

Product
HomeConsensus 2+Multi-OutcomeChangelog
Learn
AboutMethodologyFAQAPI
Legal
PrivacyTermsContact
© 2026 Odds Raven · Data refreshed every 6 hours · peer-reviewed methodology