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DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?

89.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?" has a probability of 89.5%. Trading volume: $31K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 1h ago
Volume
$31K
Volume 24h
$6K
Liquidity
$19K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
89.0% / 90.0%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
May 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next DeepSeek V model is made available to the general public by May 15, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Intermediate versions (e.g., DeepSeek-V3.5) will not count; however, versions such as DeepSeek V4 …

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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