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ECB rate cut in 2026?

26.0%

Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "ECB rate cut in 2026?" has a probability of 26.0%. Trading volume: $24K.

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Probability Over Time

Market Details

Polymarket

Updated 1h ago

Volume

$24K

Volume 24h

$648

Liquidity

$5K

Traders

—

Bid / Ask

24.0% / 28.0%

Spread

4.0%

Opened

Apr 2026

Resolves

Dec 2026

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this m…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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