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Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

4.2%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?" has a probability of 4.2%. Trading volume: $21K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 2h ago
Volume
$21K
Volume 24h
$995
Liquidity
$34K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
4.2% / 4.3%
Spread
0.1%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Jeffrey Epstein is Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin, is made public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying evidence includes, but is …

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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