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EU dissolves before 2027?

4.0%

Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "EU dissolves before 2027?" has a probability of 4.0%. Trading volume: $162K.

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Probability Over Time

Market Details

Polymarket

Updated 16m ago

Volume

$162K

Volume 24h

$10

Liquidity

$27K

Traders

—

Bid / Ask

3.8% / 4.2%

Spread

0.4%

Opened

Apr 2026

Resolves

Dec 2026

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met: 1) More than half of the EU m…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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