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Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

40.8%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?" has a probability of 40.8%. Trading volume: $80K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 5h ago
Volume
$80K
Volume 24h
$338
Liquidity
$18K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
39.0% / 42.7%
Spread
3.7%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jun 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for September 2026, currently scheduled for September 15-16. Otherwise,…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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