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Fed rate hike in 2026?

15.0%

Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Fed rate hike in 2026?" has a probability of 15.0%. Trading volume: $860K.

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Probability Over Time

Market Details

Polymarket

Updated 9h ago

Volume

$860K

Volume 24h

$1K

Liquidity

$39K

Traders

—

Bid / Ask

14.0% / 16.0%

Spread

2.0%

Opened

Apr 2026

Resolves

Dec 2026

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may n…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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