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Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?

11.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?" has a probability of 11.5%. Trading volume: $150K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 4h ago
Volume
$150K
Volume 24h
$15
Liquidity
$23K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
11.0% / 12.0%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be cons…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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