On Manifold Markets, "Havana syndrome: As of 2030, what will be the public medical/scientific consensus of the cause? — Psychological stress, a health scare, or other psychogenic cause." has a probability of 18.0%.
View on Manifold Markets →This question is currently tracked on Manifold Markets only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →
The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.