If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason? — K. Somebody discovers a new AI paradigm that's powerful enough and matures fast enough to beat deep learning to the punch, and the new paradigm is much much more alignable than giant inscrutable matrices of floating-point numbers.

On Manifold Markets, "If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason? — K. Somebody discovers a new AI paradigm that's powerful enough and matures fast enough to beat deep learning to the punch, and the new paradigm is much much more alignable than giant inscrutable matrices of floating-point numbers." has a probability of 9.7%.