On Manifold Markets, "In what year will there be a film that surpasses Avatar as the highest grossing film worldwide? — 2028" has a probability of 13.8%.
View on Manifold Markets →This question is currently tracked on Manifold Markets only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →
The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.