Home › Ai › Jimmy Lai released by June 30?

Jimmy Lai released by June 30?

4.0%

Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Jimmy Lai released by June 30?" has a probability of 4.0%. Trading volume: $70K.

View on Polymarket →

Probability Over Time

Market Details

Polymarket

Updated 2h ago

Volume

$70K

Volume 24h

$1K

Liquidity

$18K

Traders

—

Bid / Ask

3.2% / 4.9%

Spread

1.7%

Opened

Apr 2026

Resolves

Jun 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jimmy Lai is released from custody by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Lai is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Lai is released on parole, bond, or …

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

Odds Raven

The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.

Product

Home Consensus 2+Multi-Outcome Changelog

Learn

About Methodology FAQ API

Legal

Privacy Terms Contact