MethodologyAPI
Home › Economics › Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by ...

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?

4.6%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?" has a probability of 4.6%. Trading volume: $316K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 11h ago
Volume
$316K
Volume 24h
$9K
Liquidity
$15K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
4.4% / 4.8%
Spread
0.4%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
May 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Sen…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

Odds Raven

The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.

Product
HomeConsensus 2+Multi-OutcomeChangelog
Learn
AboutMethodologyFAQAPI
Legal
PrivacyTermsContact
© 2026 Odds Raven · Data refreshed every 6 hours · peer-reviewed methodology