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Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?

50.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?" has a probability of 50.5%. Trading volume: $169K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 34m ago
Volume
$169K
Volume 24h
$3K
Liquidity
$26K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
50.0% / 51.0%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
May 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Se…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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