EventsMethodologyAPI
Home › Other › Kharg Island no longer under Iranian c...

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

8.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?" has a probability of 8.5%. Trading volume: $5.3M.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 9h ago
Volume
$5.3M
Volume 24h
$612K
Liquidity
$289K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
8.0% / 9.0%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Apr 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by April 30, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

Odds Raven

The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.

Product
HomeEventsConsensus 2+Changelog
Learn
AboutMethodologyFAQAPI
Legal
PrivacyTermsContact
© 2026 Odds Raven · Data refreshed every 6 hours · peer-reviewed methodology