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Major CEX insolvent in 2026?

11.5%

Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Major CEX insolvent in 2026?" has a probability of 11.5%. Trading volume: $110K.

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Probability Over Time

Market Details

Polymarket

Updated 1h ago

Volume

$110K

Volume 24h

—

Liquidity

$18K

Traders

—

Bid / Ask

11.0% / 12.0%

Spread

1.0%

Opened

Apr 2026

Resolves

Jan 2027

This market will resolve to “Yes” if official information released by any of the following major centralized exchanges: Binance, Coinbase, Bybit, OKX, or Kraken, official representatives of such exchange (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting ann…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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