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Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?

16.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?" has a probability of 16.0%. Trading volume: $144K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 4h ago
Volume
$144K
Volume 24h
$20K
Liquidity
$35K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
15.0% / 17.0%
Spread
2.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Apr 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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