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New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

17.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "New COVID variant of concern before 2027?" has a probability of 17.0%. Trading volume: $232K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 9h ago
Volume
$232K
Volume 24h
$14
Liquidity
$6K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
16.0% / 18.0%
Spread
2.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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