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New pandemic in 2026?

11.5%

Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "New pandemic in 2026?" has a probability of 11.5%. Trading volume: $208K.

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Probability Over Time

Market Details

Polymarket

Updated 9h ago

Volume

$208K

Volume 24h

$7K

Liquidity

$23K

Traders

—

Bid / Ask

11.0% / 12.0%

Spread

1.0%

Opened

Apr 2026

Resolves

Dec 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World He…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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