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Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto

91.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto" has a probability of 91.0%. Trading volume: $6K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 3h ago
Volume
$6K
Volume 24h
$10
Liquidity
$13K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
90.0% / 92.0%
Spread
2.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Satoshi moves any Bitcoin - Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. 1. Satoshi moves any B…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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