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OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

22.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?" has a probability of 22.5%. Trading volume: $53K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 58m ago
Volume
$53K
Volume 24h
$6
Liquidity
$9K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
22.0% / 23.0%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market wil…

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This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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