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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

44.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?" has a probability of 44.0%. Trading volume: $146K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 5h ago
Volume
$146K
Volume 24h
$12K
Liquidity
$27K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
43.0% / 45.0%
Spread
2.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this mar…

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This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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