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SBF released from custody in 2026?

7.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "SBF released from custody in 2026?" has a probability of 7.5%. Trading volume: $317K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 1h ago
Volume
$317K
Volume 24h
$830
Liquidity
$25K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
7.0% / 8.0%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Sam Bankman-Fried is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Sam Bankma…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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