HomeScience › SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman...

SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?

3.2%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?" has a probability of 3.2%. Trading volume: $3K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 3m ago
Volume
$3K
Volume 24h
Liquidity
$5K
Traders
Bid / Ask
1.5% / 5.0%
Spread
3.5%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
Investor Bill Ackman proposed on X that Elon Musk take SpaceX public through a merger with Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd., a company founded and run by Ackman to innovatively transact public offerings through the use of Special Purpose Acquisition Rights or “SPARs” (see: htt…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

Odds Raven

The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.

© 2026 Odds Raven · Data refreshed every 6 hours · peer-reviewed methodology