MethodologyAPI
Home › Science › SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1...

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?

72.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?" has a probability of 72.5%. Trading volume: $67K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 5h ago
Volume
$67K
Volume 24h
$1K
Liquidity
$8K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
72.0% / 73.0%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2027
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

Odds Raven

The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.

Product
HomeConsensus 2+Multi-OutcomeChangelog
Learn
AboutMethodologyFAQAPI
Legal
PrivacyTermsContact
© 2026 Odds Raven · Data refreshed every 6 hours · peer-reviewed methodology