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Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

93.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?" has a probability of 93.5%. Trading volume: $12K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 5h ago
Volume
$12K
Volume 24h
—
Liquidity
$2K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
92.0% / 95.0%
Spread
3.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Feb 2027
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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