United nations - will it stand by 2040? — Remains existing, but there is/are other organization thay claim the same missions, and have membership of at least 60% of the countries that represent at least 60% of total human population, present on all continents

On Manifold Markets, "United nations - will it stand by 2040? — Remains existing, but there is/are other organization thay claim the same missions, and have membership of at least 60% of the countries that represent at least 60% of total human population, present on all continents" has a probability of 20.0%.