On Manifold Markets, "What conspiracy theories will be proven true by 2100? (Mega Market) — The NBA rigs the draft lottery" has a probability of 37.9%.
View on Manifold Markets →This question is currently tracked on Manifold Markets only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →
The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.