On Manifold Markets, "What year will SpaceX first launch two crewed missions within a day? — 2032 or later" has a probability of 72.7%.
View on Manifold Markets →This question is currently tracked on Manifold Markets only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →
The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.