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Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 5?

6.8%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 5?" has a probability of 6.8%. Trading volume: $3K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 11h ago
Volume
$3K
Volume 24h
—
Liquidity
$3K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
2.3% / 11.3%
Spread
9.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jan 2027
This market will resolve to “Yes” if at least one coin launched in 2026 appears in the top 5 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization on CoinGecko at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” Rankings will be determined using CoinGecko’s market capit…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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