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Will a hurricane form by May 31?

7.2%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will a hurricane form by May 31?" has a probability of 7.2%. Trading volume: $37K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 1h ago
Volume
$37K
Volume 24h
$40
Liquidity
$6K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
6.3% / 8.1%
Spread
1.8%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
May 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurri…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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