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Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

56.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?" has a probability of 56.0%. Trading volume: $22K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 5h ago
Volume
$22K
Volume 24h
—
Liquidity
$2K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
43.0% / 69.0%
Spread
26.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of any sovereign UN member state announces between November 13, 3:00 PM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that they bought Bitcoin for the first time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This announcement can perta…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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