On Manifold Markets, "Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2027?" has a probability of 72.8%.
View on Manifold Markets →This question is currently tracked on Manifold Markets only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →
The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.