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Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

96.9%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?" has a probability of 96.9%. Trading volume: $70K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 2h ago
Volume
$70K
Volume 24h
$2
Liquidity
$10K
Traders
Bid / Ask
96.4% / 97.4%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity…

Single Platform Data

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