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Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

10.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?" has a probability of 10.0%. Trading volume: $54K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 2h ago
Volume
$54K
Volume 24h
$1K
Liquidity
$11K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
9.0% / 11.0%
Spread
2.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Apr 2026
In February 2026, the Pentagon announced it would designate Anthropic as a national security supply chain risk after Anthropic refused to remove AI safety restrictions from its acceptable use policy. Donald Trump subsequently directed all federal agencies to cease using Anthropic…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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