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Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?

56.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?" has a probability of 56.5%. Trading volume: $4K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 4h ago
Volume
$4K
Volume 24h
$460
Liquidity
$5K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
55.0% / 58.0%
Spread
3.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | O…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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