MethodologyAPI
Home › Ai › Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall A...

Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

37.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?" has a probability of 37.0%. Trading volume: $4K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 5h ago
Volume
$4K
Volume 24h
—
Liquidity
$1K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
30.0% / 44.0%
Spread
14.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Sep 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Aren…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

Odds Raven

The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.

Product
HomeConsensus 2+Multi-OutcomeChangelog
Learn
AboutMethodologyFAQAPI
Legal
PrivacyTermsContact
© 2026 Odds Raven · Data refreshed every 6 hours · peer-reviewed methodology