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Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

33.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?" has a probability of 33.5%. Trading volume: $316K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 9h ago
Volume
$316K
Volume 24h
$44
Liquidity
$4K
Traders
Bid / Ask
33.0% / 34.0%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
For the purposes of this market, a Category 4 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 130-156 mph, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline…

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