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Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

12.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?" has a probability of 12.5%. Trading volume: $126K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 3h ago
Volume
$126K
Volume 24h
$3K
Liquidity
$8K
Traders
Bid / Ask
12.0% / 13.0%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
For the purposes of this market, a Category 5 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 157 mph or higher, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coa…

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