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Will Billie Eilish have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

49.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Billie Eilish have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?" has a probability of 49.5%. Trading volume: $40K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 5h ago
Volume
$40K
Volume 24h
—
Liquidity
$597
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
42.0% / 57.0%
Spread
15.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any song by the listed artist is the number 1 song in any official weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “N…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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