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Will Bitcoin reach $5k before it reaches $500k?

21.5%
Probability on Manifold Markets

On Manifold Markets, "Will Bitcoin reach $5k before it reaches $500k?" has a probability of 21.5%.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Manifold Markets
Updated 16m ago
Volume
Volume 24h
Liquidity
Traders
38 traders
Bid / Ask
— / —
Spread
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jan 2050

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Manifold Markets only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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