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Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

7.7%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?" has a probability of 7.7%. Trading volume: $174K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 1h ago
Volume
$174K
Volume 24h
—
Liquidity
$23K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
7.1% / 8.3%
Spread
1.2%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
On December 9, Google introduced Willow, a breakthrough state-of-the-art quantum chip. This achievement fueled speculation that Bitcoin's encryption may be vulnerable to quantum computers in the not-so-distant future (see https://www.cryptoglobe.com/latest/2024/12/does-googles-ne…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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