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Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.5%?

9.3%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.5%?" has a probability of 9.3%. Trading volume: $44K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 48m ago
Volume
$44K
Volume 24h
$3K
Liquidity
$4K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
8.7% / 10.0%
Spread
1.3%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Apr 2026
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 17, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/Pr…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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