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Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

4.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?" has a probability of 4.5%. Trading volume: $780K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 1h ago
Volume
$780K
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$37K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
4.4% / 4.5%
Spread
0.1%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of the People's Republic of China (PRC) explicitly announces that Chinese citizens will be allowed to legally buy Bitcoin with yuan (renminbi) from inside China by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will reso…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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