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Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?

26.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?" has a probability of 26.0%. Trading volume: $218K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 11h ago
Volume
$218K
Volume 24h
$79K
Liquidity
$21K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
25.0% / 27.0%
Spread
2.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
May 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's Claude 5 model is made available to the general public by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," Claude 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including vi…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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