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Will Claude go down 12+ times in April?

72.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Claude go down 12+ times in April?" has a probability of 72.5%. Trading volume: $11K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 5h ago
Volume
$11K
Volume 24h
$31
Liquidity
$4K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
72.0% / 73.0%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Apr 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime. Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component …

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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